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	<title>Comments on: Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years</title>
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	<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/</link>
	<description>The voice of the BlackBerry community.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 03:37:41 -0500</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: 3 Predicciones para Blackberry y RIM para los próximos 3 años &#124; baudio.</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-420177</link>
		<dc:creator>3 Predicciones para Blackberry y RIM para los próximos 3 años &#124; baudio.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2009 16:49:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-420177</guid>
		<description>[...] 13, 2009 12:17 pm Via getviigo les posteo algunas de las predicciones del sitio blackberrycool realizadas por 5 de los bloggers top de BlackBerry,  al hacer su &#8220;Top 3 BlackBerry Futures [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] 13, 2009 12:17 pm Via getviigo les posteo algunas de las predicciones del sitio blackberrycool realizadas por 5 de los bloggers top de BlackBerry,  al hacer su &#8220;Top 3 BlackBerry Futures [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Palm Pre sets record sales on Sprint - should RIM care? &#124; BlackBerryBlitz</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-368453</link>
		<dc:creator>Palm Pre sets record sales on Sprint - should RIM care? &#124; BlackBerryBlitz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 13:35:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-368453</guid>
		<description>[...] was a focal point of discussion at the WES 2009 panel: Top 3 Predictions for BlackBerry. Some suggested Palm is a threat, and therefore a potential acquisition for RIM. Others argued that [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] was a focal point of discussion at the WES 2009 panel: Top 3 Predictions for BlackBerry. Some suggested Palm is a threat, and therefore a potential acquisition for RIM. Others argued that [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Palm Pre sets record sales on Sprint - should RIM care? &#124; BlackBerry Cool</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-368435</link>
		<dc:creator>Palm Pre sets record sales on Sprint - should RIM care? &#124; BlackBerry Cool</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 13:02:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-368435</guid>
		<description>[...] was a focal point of discussion at the WES 2009 panel: Top 3 Predictions for BlackBerry. Some suggested Palm is a threat, and therefore a potential acquisition for RIM. Others argued that [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] was a focal point of discussion at the WES 2009 panel: Top 3 Predictions for BlackBerry. Some suggested Palm is a threat, and therefore a potential acquisition for RIM. Others argued that [...]</p>
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		<title>By: BlackBerry Unlock Codes &#187; Blog Archive &#187; BlackBerry News From The Wire for the Week of 5/11/2009</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-358592</link>
		<dc:creator>BlackBerry Unlock Codes &#187; Blog Archive &#187; BlackBerry News From The Wire for the Week of 5/11/2009</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2009 06:22:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-358592</guid>
		<description>[...] the BB Blogosphere was well represented, as always. In fact, a number of them got together and made some BlackBerry predictions. Some of them were obvious, but there were a number of insightful ones that could certainly appear [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] the BB Blogosphere was well represented, as always. In fact, a number of them got together and made some BlackBerry predictions. Some of them were obvious, but there were a number of insightful ones that could certainly appear [...]</p>
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		<title>By: cellboy42 (cellboy42)</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356212</link>
		<dc:creator>cellboy42 (cellboy42)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 23:13:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356212</guid>
		<description>RT &lt;a rel=&quot;nofollow&quot; href=&quot;http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool&quot;&gt;@BlackBerryCool&lt;/a&gt;: Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years http://bit.ly/lxOws</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RT <a rel="nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool">@BlackBerryCool</a>: Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years <a href="http://bit.ly/lxOws" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/lxOws</a></p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356282</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 22:14:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356282</guid>
		<description>@Steve

A lofty goal, indeed.  But think of the payoff.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Steve</p>
<p>A lofty goal, indeed.  But think of the payoff.</p>
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		<title>By: RegardVS (Steve Beauregard)</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356186</link>
		<dc:creator>RegardVS (Steve Beauregard)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 21:31:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356186</guid>
		<description>Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years http://bit.ly/lxOws (RT &lt;a rel=&quot;nofollow&quot; href=&quot;http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool&quot;&gt;@BlackBerryCool&lt;/a&gt; )</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years <a href="http://bit.ly/lxOws" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/lxOws</a> (RT <a rel="nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool">@BlackBerryCool</a> )</p>
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		<title>By: pinkmotown (Paula)</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356190</link>
		<dc:creator>pinkmotown (Paula)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 19:26:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356190</guid>
		<description>RT &lt;a rel=&quot;nofollow&quot; href=&quot;http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool&quot;&gt;@BlackBerryCool&lt;/a&gt;: Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years http://bit.ly/lxOws</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RT <a rel="nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool">@BlackBerryCool</a>: Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years <a href="http://bit.ly/lxOws" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/lxOws</a></p>
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		<title>By: CoolBBThemes (Jennifer Calandra)</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356194</link>
		<dc:creator>CoolBBThemes (Jennifer Calandra)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 19:25:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356194</guid>
		<description>RT &lt;a rel=&quot;nofollow&quot; href=&quot;http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool&quot;&gt;@BlackBerryCool&lt;/a&gt;:Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years http://bit.ly/lxOws</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RT <a rel="nofollow" href="http://twitter.com/BlackBerryCool">@BlackBerryCool</a>:Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years <a href="http://bit.ly/lxOws" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/lxOws</a></p>
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		<title>By: Steve Beauregard, REGARD Solution</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356235</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Beauregard, REGARD Solution</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 19:24:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356235</guid>
		<description>Matt,

The problems don&#039;t occur on your everyday run of the mill app that doesn&#039;e integrate with the hardware.  The problem is very evident when you want to interface with the hardware (i.e. Place a phone call, take a picture, capture video from the Smartphone).  That means Air better have low level drivers to support each function on each OS across all Smartphone models...A very lofty goal...just because the code will run without crashing doesn&#039;t mean the software will perform it&#039;s intended function.  
@REGARDvs</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Matt,</p>
<p>The problems don&#8217;t occur on your everyday run of the mill app that doesn&#8217;e integrate with the hardware.  The problem is very evident when you want to interface with the hardware (i.e. Place a phone call, take a picture, capture video from the Smartphone).  That means Air better have low level drivers to support each function on each OS across all Smartphone models&#8230;A very lofty goal&#8230;just because the code will run without crashing doesn&#8217;t mean the software will perform it&#8217;s intended function.<br />
@REGARDvs</p>
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		<title>By: blkboxstudioz (Tony Million)</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356197</link>
		<dc:creator>blkboxstudioz (Tony Million)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 19:17:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356197</guid>
		<description>Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years http://bit.ly/lxOws</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years <a href="http://bit.ly/lxOws" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/lxOws</a></p>
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		<title>By: gabriel</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356231</link>
		<dc:creator>gabriel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 18:56:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356231</guid>
		<description>These guy are brown noses with their agreeable comments. Blackberry will abandon the storm and end up like motorola after the Q.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>These guy are brown noses with their agreeable comments. Blackberry will abandon the storm and end up like motorola after the Q.</p>
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		<title>By: BlackBerryCool (BlackBerry Cool)</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356202</link>
		<dc:creator>BlackBerryCool (BlackBerry Cool)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 18:42:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356202</guid>
		<description>Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years http://bit.ly/lxOws</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Top 3 predictions for BlackBerry and RIM in 3 years <a href="http://bit.ly/lxOws" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/lxOws</a></p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356222</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 18:37:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356222</guid>
		<description>@moog

Based on the fact that the Blackberry OS is what it is.  

From some informal chats with Adobe software engineers at Adobe Max, Flash on the Blackberry is lagging far, far behind due to the fact that the Blackberry OS is narrowly focused on what it does, and is difficult to work with outside of those areas. 

Also based on the fact that for two years now, Adobe has been pushing Flash to smartphones, and Blackberry hasn&#039;t even hit the &quot;Still working on it- coming soon, maybe&quot; list.  Based on the fact that Flash has been shown on several smartphone platforms- not production ready, but functional enough for a demonstration in a keynote address, but Flash-on-Blackberry isn&#039;t even to the point where Adobe is willing to talk about it as being in development.  That&#039;s right- when Adobe listed the smartphone platforms they were working with for Flash, Blackberry wasn&#039;t mentioned.  Not as a possibility, not as a far-future thing.  Not mentioned at all.

I love my Curve, and will probably be picking up either a Storm or a Tour in the near future.  But Blackberry appears to be way, way behind in this area, and I honestly think that within a few years, running Flash on a handset is going to be as expected a feature as GPS and WiFi are now.  I really do hope that I&#039;m wrong, but I don&#039;t think that I am.

@Steve
Okay- I get wrapped up in my little fishbowl and forget about the world outside it.  :)  AIR offers a runtime that allows one set of code to run in (almost completely) the same fashion on Windows, Mac OS, and Linux (Most distros).  Similar to a JVM.  Not *truely* &quot;Write Once, Run Everywhere&quot;  I can see the same thing happening in the smartphone world- WinMo, iPhone, WebOS, and Android AIR runtimes allowing code to run on any AIR-enabled smartphone without having to rewrite the app for every platform.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@moog</p>
<p>Based on the fact that the Blackberry OS is what it is.  </p>
<p>From some informal chats with Adobe software engineers at Adobe Max, Flash on the Blackberry is lagging far, far behind due to the fact that the Blackberry OS is narrowly focused on what it does, and is difficult to work with outside of those areas. </p>
<p>Also based on the fact that for two years now, Adobe has been pushing Flash to smartphones, and Blackberry hasn&#8217;t even hit the &#8220;Still working on it- coming soon, maybe&#8221; list.  Based on the fact that Flash has been shown on several smartphone platforms- not production ready, but functional enough for a demonstration in a keynote address, but Flash-on-Blackberry isn&#8217;t even to the point where Adobe is willing to talk about it as being in development.  That&#8217;s right- when Adobe listed the smartphone platforms they were working with for Flash, Blackberry wasn&#8217;t mentioned.  Not as a possibility, not as a far-future thing.  Not mentioned at all.</p>
<p>I love my Curve, and will probably be picking up either a Storm or a Tour in the near future.  But Blackberry appears to be way, way behind in this area, and I honestly think that within a few years, running Flash on a handset is going to be as expected a feature as GPS and WiFi are now.  I really do hope that I&#8217;m wrong, but I don&#8217;t think that I am.</p>
<p>@Steve<br />
Okay- I get wrapped up in my little fishbowl and forget about the world outside it.  <img src='http://www.blackberrycool.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' />   AIR offers a runtime that allows one set of code to run in (almost completely) the same fashion on Windows, Mac OS, and Linux (Most distros).  Similar to a JVM.  Not *truely* &#8220;Write Once, Run Everywhere&#8221;  I can see the same thing happening in the smartphone world- WinMo, iPhone, WebOS, and Android AIR runtimes allowing code to run on any AIR-enabled smartphone without having to rewrite the app for every platform.</p>
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		<title>By: moog</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356201</link>
		<dc:creator>moog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 17:43:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356201</guid>
		<description>@Mike You think RIM will pass on flash and air mobile?  Based on what?  RIM not giving the consumer market focus?  Oh, that&#039;s false. BlackBerry not having the horsepower to support flash?  Hrmmm...that&#039;s not true either.  Your predictions are as baseless as the so-called &quot;experts&quot;.  Perhaps more so.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Mike You think RIM will pass on flash and air mobile?  Based on what?  RIM not giving the consumer market focus?  Oh, that&#8217;s false. BlackBerry not having the horsepower to support flash?  Hrmmm&#8230;that&#8217;s not true either.  Your predictions are as baseless as the so-called &#8220;experts&#8221;.  Perhaps more so.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Beauregard, REGARD Solution</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356183</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Beauregard, REGARD Solution</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 17:10:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356183</guid>
		<description>Nice additions Matt...However, the dream of &quot;one code base&quot; going across all platforms is a pipe dream! That was what UNIX was going to deliver...then IBM. HP &amp; DEC all came out with there own flavors of UNIX and ...surprise...we developers still had to port our code for each...so then we got LINUX...and...guess what...we now multiple flavors again...I see a pattern here!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice additions Matt&#8230;However, the dream of &#8220;one code base&#8221; going across all platforms is a pipe dream! That was what UNIX was going to deliver&#8230;then IBM. HP &amp; DEC all came out with there own flavors of UNIX and &#8230;surprise&#8230;we developers still had to port our code for each&#8230;so then we got LINUX&#8230;and&#8230;guess what&#8230;we now multiple flavors again&#8230;I see a pattern here!</p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356171</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 16:22:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356171</guid>
		<description>Wow, you guys really like going out on a limb on your predictions. 

Seriously, people.  &quot;Smartphones, and BlackBerry, will remain a powerful industry.&quot;?  No kidding- doesn&#039;t take an industry insider to scope that one.  &quot;Greater enterprise functionality&quot;?  It&#039;s their bread and butter- of *course* they&#039;re going to offer greater functionality.  What is this, a &quot;How to state the blindingly obvious&quot; contest?

Here&#039;s a prediction.  Within 3 years, the iPhone, Windows Mobile, Android, Nokia, and WebOS will support the latest version of Flash natively on the device, with full hooks into the API.  RIM will not support this.

Here&#039;s another.  Adobe will release AIR Mobile, in some fashion, taking advantage of the above integration.  Developing apps for smartphones will then require AIR Mobile (or whatever they call it) and one codebase to be deployed on multiple platforms.  Except the Blackberry.

I might be wrong, although I doubt it.  But at least I&#039;m not restating the obvious and passing it off as an insider&#039;s view.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow, you guys really like going out on a limb on your predictions. </p>
<p>Seriously, people.  &#8220;Smartphones, and BlackBerry, will remain a powerful industry.&#8221;?  No kidding- doesn&#8217;t take an industry insider to scope that one.  &#8220;Greater enterprise functionality&#8221;?  It&#8217;s their bread and butter- of *course* they&#8217;re going to offer greater functionality.  What is this, a &#8220;How to state the blindingly obvious&#8221; contest?</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a prediction.  Within 3 years, the iPhone, Windows Mobile, Android, Nokia, and WebOS will support the latest version of Flash natively on the device, with full hooks into the API.  RIM will not support this.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s another.  Adobe will release AIR Mobile, in some fashion, taking advantage of the above integration.  Developing apps for smartphones will then require AIR Mobile (or whatever they call it) and one codebase to be deployed on multiple platforms.  Except the Blackberry.</p>
<p>I might be wrong, although I doubt it.  But at least I&#8217;m not restating the obvious and passing it off as an insider&#8217;s view.</p>
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		<title>By: moog</title>
		<link>http://www.blackberrycool.com/2009/05/13/top-3-predictions-for-blackberry-and-rim-in-3-years/comment-page-1/#comment-356146</link>
		<dc:creator>moog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 14:28:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blackberrycool.com/?p=12569#comment-356146</guid>
		<description>I find this prediction the most interesting...

2. RIM eats Palm (potential buyout?)

Now that Palm might have a competitive smartphone, they could buy the R&amp;D for the WebOS and not spend the time flashing up the BB OS.

...then again, it could be a complete clusterf*ck</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I find this prediction the most interesting&#8230;</p>
<p>2. RIM eats Palm (potential buyout?)</p>
<p>Now that Palm might have a competitive smartphone, they could buy the R&amp;D for the WebOS and not spend the time flashing up the BB OS.</p>
<p>&#8230;then again, it could be a complete clusterf*ck</p>
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